Saturday, January 23, 2021

Why Vaccines Are Not THE BEST Answer (my strong opinion)

 







Should I Get the COVID Vaccine?: A Doctor's Advice to Therapists


This woman explains the difference between EFFICACY and EFFECTIVENESS


What the COVID-19 RNA Vaccines WILL and WON'T DO





Scientists still researching whether vaccine prevents COVID-19 transmission












00:00
Hi I'm Dr. Tori Olds. A few months ago on my  channel I hosted my father-in-law Dr. Richard  
00:06
Olds who is an infectious disease specialist to  talk to us therapists about how to approach the  
00:12
situation with COVID in terms of seeing  clients in person or doing telehealth, etc.  
00:17
So it's been a while since we posted that  video but specifically I wanted to do another  
00:21
video today so that we could talk about the new  vaccines coming out. I know a lot of my therapists  
00:26
friends are asking me questions and asking me  to get my father-in-law's advice so i thought  
00:31
I'd make this video today. So Dr Richard Olds is a  specialist in infectious diseases. He was a former  
00:38
dean of a U.S medical school and now he is  president of St. George's Medical School. So  
00:44
we're going to go ahead and start...you know begin  asking about...I guess i'll turn to you Dick. 
00:50
The first thing I was really wanting to know  about was just with these new vaccines coming out  
00:54
what do we know and what do we not know yet.  well first of all let's be clear it's not  
00:59
one vaccine, it's probably at least five and  we know that two of them have been released  
01:05
for use in the United States and they are both  a new type of vaccine, a messenger rna vaccine.  
01:11
We've never had that type of vaccine before so we  don't have as much experience with that vaccine.  
01:16
The third vaccine which is uh now being released  in England is a chimpanzee virus that has been  
01:23
altered to encode a protein of the coronavirus  and that's a, if you will, a live attenuated  
01:31
viral vaccine. We have more experience  with those kinds of vaccines that's  
01:36
measles, mumps, rubella, polio, yellow fever, those  are all live attenuated virus vaccines and then  
01:44
eventually we'll get to the last two and one  of those last two is a more traditional protein  
01:49
vaccine with an adjuvant. That's a chemical that  boosts the body's immune system. So when we talk  
01:55
about the vaccines we have to be very careful  that we know which vaccine we're talking about.  
02:01
Now the two vaccines that are available now,  the messenger rna vaccines, uh you know are very  
02:07
protective, in fact, surprisingly protective. When  I reviewed the data on about 40,000 people in one  
02:14
case about 30,000 in the other vaccine they were  highly effective. They were 95 percent effective  
02:21
that means if you vaccinated a thousand people  and you compared it with a thousand people that  
02:26
didn't get vaccinated the people that didn't get  vaccinated, let's say a hundred of them get COVID  
02:31
and of those that got vaccinated only five  got COVID. Probably more important than just  
02:36
that fact is that none of the people that got  COVID in the vaccinated group got severely  
02:42
ill. So the vaccine protects you from getting  sick from COVID and the sickness that you get,  
02:49
even though you've been vaccinated, is much  milder than the sickness that you would get  
02:53
if you weren't vaccinated. So a lot of reasons  to take the vaccine. What we don't know yet  
02:58
is whether it actually decreases the likelihood of  getting infected and we'll know that in a few more  
03:04
months but we don't know that yet and so some  of the recommendations that we make right now  
03:09
are based on the fact that we're not sure the  vaccinated people can't transmit the disease  
03:14
because we don't know for sure if they get  infected but just don't have any symptoms.  
03:19
Because the vaccine trials were designed to look  at eliminating the disease COVID not the infection COVID. 
03:26
So that's really the vaccines that we have  now. So we know they're highly effective.  
03:31
On the other hand is very important to take a look  at the side effects because these are relatively  
03:35
new vaccines and here there's uh there's both  some good news and bad news. So the good news  
03:41
is that now in a follow-up of at least two to  three months there were no increase in what I 
03:48
would call severe side effects in the vaccinated  group versus the unvaccinated group. That makes  
03:52
them very safe vaccines. Now granted, it's based  on 70,000 people but that's still quite a few  
03:58
people. On the other hand, on the short term the vaccines seem to cause more  
04:05
very short-term reactivity like sore arms,  low-grade fever and this somewhat more disturbing  
04:11
thing - an allergic reaction to the vaccine. Now  let's be clear about that allergic reaction though.  
04:17
People had anaphylaxis which is a serious side  effect - people have difficulty breathing. But if the  
04:23
vaccine is given in the setting of a healthcare  professionals they can give them a shot of 
04:28
epinephrine. So although it's a rare complication,  it happens immediately. You're going to know that  
04:34
it's happened and it's very treatable. So that  would not be a reason not to take the vaccine. 
04:39
But I would anticipate for those who get the  vaccine that they're likely to get a sore  
04:42
arm, probably not feel so great for 24 hours. But  compare that with the disease COVID, obviously it's  
04:50
much better to have a little short-term discomfort  from the vaccine than to obviously get COVID  
04:56
and run the risk of, not only dying, but people  that have recovered from COVID sometimes have  
05:01
long-term persistent symptoms. So there's lots  of reasons why you don't want to get COVID 
05:06
and I would recommend that everyone get vaccinated as soon as it's available for their particular  
05:11
group. So you mentioned that this is new technology.  So does the fact that it's new technology worry you?  
05:18
I'm particularly thinking about the RNA messengers.  I don't know much about how that works, so you know  
05:24
in my mind, I would think, "oh my gosh is this going  to change something in my system, you know 10 years  
05:29
from now that will have a negative impact even if  they haven't seen it in the first couple months?"  
05:33
and just from your perspective understanding the  science of that, how worried are you about the  
05:37
newness of these vaccines? Well, in science you  can never say never and so you know we just  
05:44
don't know what the long-term consequences might  be, but let's look carefully at how that vaccine  
05:50
works, because how it works would suggest that it's  very unlikely that there's long-term complications.
05:56
So remember that some viruses, DNA viruses actually have the potential of actually inserting their DNA  
06:03
into your genes, like the AIDS virus and this  is an RNA virus and the vaccine itself is a  
06:10
messenger rna vaccine. Now how does that work?  Well in your body, in the nucleus of your cells, 
06:17
is your genetic material which encodes in DNA  not RNA, DNA. Now how does that genetic message  
06:24
get to the rest of the cell to produce proteins  that you need to live? Well they use the DNA  
06:31
template to make a messenger RNA template which  carries the message for proteins. It diffuses out  
06:38
of the nucleus, it goes to an area of the cell  called a ribosome and then that's used as a  
06:44
template to add amino acids to produce the desired  protein. Now what this vaccine does is it basically  
06:50
inserts itself in that process by providing new  messenger RNA that attaches itself to ribosomes  
06:58
and encodes for a protein that is normally on  the surface coat of infected cells, the so-called  
07:04
"spike protein." Now the good news in that scenario  is that messenger RNA doesn't hang around for a  
07:09
long time because once the message is given and  you produce some protein your body doesn't want it  
07:14
to continue to make that protein. It wants to shut  it off so messenger RNA has a relatively low short  
07:20
life expectancy, if you will, in the cell. So I would  expect that a vaccine based on messenger RNA, you  
07:27
know, any side effects you're likely to get from  you'll probably see in two to three months. So it's  
07:32
I think not absolutely certain but I think it's  unlikely that there'll be long-term side effects  
07:38
with that vaccine. Now the live virus vaccine,  that's the third one that's coming out. You know  
07:44
that vaccine has the ability to obviously cause  an actual infection in the person and so there we  
07:52
might worry about complications that are sometimes  seen with live virus vaccines. That you could  
08:00
stimulate somebody with multiple sclerosis  or lupus to have a flare of their disease.  
08:05
and the fifth vaccine, if you will, the one  that has an adjuvant,, the protein vaccine  
08:09
we know that some vaccines that have  adjuvants also sometimes stimulate in people  
08:16
immune responses that you don't want. So although  we really don't know what the complications of all  
08:23
five of these vaccines, in many ways the messenger  RNA vaccines, in my opinion, are likely to be very  
08:30
safe. The big drawback with those vaccines  is they are tough to deliver logistically.  
08:35
one of them requires, you know, -70-80  transportation and even the other requires  
08:40
it to be frozen for a period of time. So the live  attenuated virus vaccines, that third vaccine, the  
08:46
AstraZeneca vaccine, is not only cheaper but  it's a lot easier to give. So I think within  
08:52
a few months people will have a choice or there  will be multiple different vaccines available  
08:58
and you know I think they all are likely to  work, even the third vaccine is highly effective.  
09:04
Then depending on your own personal  circumstance you know, if you can  
09:08
choose, well then you can choose between them but  I certainly would have no difficulty taking any  
09:13
of the new messenger RNA vaccines myself. In fact, I  plan to get vaccinated as soon as my group becomes  
09:19
available. So as I mentioned it's been a few months  since we talked, actually that was at the beginning  
09:24
of COVID, so a lot of things have changed about our  understanding of transmission and how COVID works.  
09:30
Since that original interview can you go over some of those changes for us? 
09:34
Well there's a couple things that have changed  since the last time i did a video with you Tori. 
09:39
One of them is that our understanding of how the  disease is transmitted has changed and that has  
09:44
made some of the early recommendations have  to change. So people don't like change, you  
09:50
know, they want us to tell them all the answers  at the beginning and they don't like the  
09:54
idea that they may change. But since it's a  new virus and we're studying it all the time,  
09:59
it's not surprising that some of the things  we thought at the beginning are not true now.  
10:02
Now one of the more important things is  when I talked to you last time we assumed  
10:06
that most of the transmission of the coronavirus  was in large lipid droplets that you cough, sneeze or 
10:13
breathe into the air, and those large lipid  droplets are heavy and they will fall out  
10:18
of the air usually within three to six feet and  there's where that six foot, you know, safe distancing  
10:25
came from, that phenomenon. Now that we've  studied the virus more, unfortunately, about  
10:30
10 percent of the virus transmission is in very  very fine lipid droplets that don't fall out of  
10:36
the air and they stay in the air and so they can  move around the room as the air flow goes. So  
10:43
it's no longer particularly safe to go to a  restaurant or a bar, take off your mask and  
10:48
say well i'm keeping six feet from people,  because that air is circulating around. So  
10:54
our thinking about, especially indoor,  transmission has changed a lot and you  
10:59
can see in many states that now have sort  of out of control transmission. One of the first  
11:04
things they do is they shut down the bars and in  restaurants that are indoors because outdoors is  
11:10
many orders of magnitude safer than indoors.  Now even with masks, indoor transmission  
11:17
is a little more worrisome because it's basically  circling around in the air. Now the second, if you  
11:24
will, problem that has developed since last time  I talked to you is the good news is we have a lot  
11:29
more tests for COVID but the bad news is there's  a lot of confusion about them and even doctors  
11:35
are not using those tests appropriately. So let  me try to explain a little bit about the tests.  
11:42
the gold standard test is called a polymerase  chain reaction, so-called pcr test. That's a very  
11:49
sensitive test and it uses an amplification step  to find even very small numbers of viral particles.  
11:55
The newer tests which are called antigen  tests, often referred to as rapid tests, 
12:01
do not have that amplification step and so they're  significantly less sensitive. And what's happened  
12:06
is instead of using those tests to determine if  a sick person has COVID or not, and both of them  
12:12
could be used in that setting, they're used if you  will to try to keep people safe, like we're going  
12:19
to screen everyone with a rapid test every single  day and then we'll find out who's sick and that'll  
12:24
keep that transmission from taking place. Well you can see the disaster that happened at the White House  
12:29
is an example that no, those tests can't be used  in that way. Probably the biggest mistake that I  
12:34
see happening all the time now is a person has  a contact with a friend that has covid and they  
12:41
rush to their doctor and they say I just had  a contact with a person who tested positive  
12:45
for COVID and they immediately want to get a test  to see if they got infected. Well the problem with  
12:50
that strategy is it takes at least three to five  days for that test, even the pcr, the more sensitive  
12:56
test, to turn positive and so if you, let's say  run to the doctor and you get tested immediately, 
13:02
it's too soon for that negative test to mean that  you're not infected. You've got to wait at least three  
13:08
to five days and so you can see the scenario. You  get exposed to somebody. You're very worried about  
13:14
it and you go and you get tested immediately. You  haven't waited that three to five days. The test  
13:18
comes back negative and you say "oh thank goodness I'm not infected." No you could easily be infected
13:25
if you had been tested later and that's why  you can see that although quarantine for 14  
13:31
days is still the recommended quarantine in  some states, they will quarantine for 10 days  
13:38
and then test them and if they test negative at  that point, they will release them from quarantine. 
13:43
That 10 days is beyond the three to five  day limit for exposure. So too early testing,  
13:50
especially with the antigen test, has led to  a lot of transmission because people wrongfully  
13:58
assume that they weren't infected. And even with  the antigen test, even at the right time, what's  
14:02
the percent that you could get...? Yeah, antigen tests  have about a 30% false negative rate. That's really  
14:09
pretty darn hard. Whereas the PCR has single digit  false negative rates. The worst setting is to be  
14:15
screening an asymptomatic person with an  antigen test, that has almost a 50% false  
14:20
negative rate. So the very worst place to  use those rapid tests is for somebody that  
14:27
was exposed to COVID, doesn't have any symptoms  and is worried that they might have contracted it, 
14:32
that's not a very good test for that. You've got  to wait a bit longer and you've got to have  
14:36
a PCR test. So Dick, what recommendations might  you have, if you were a therapist, how would you  
14:42
be thinking about, is it time to go back and see  clients in person or continuing you know doing  
14:46
telemedicine? What does the vaccine change for  us? Well I think the good news is that I think  
14:52
therapists have done extremely well by doing  virtual therapy and I would continue to do that  
14:58
because that continues to be the safest thing.  Now i would recommend that all therapists go and  
15:03
get vaccinated themselves. Now it's going to take  two shots. Depending on which shot you're talking  
15:08
about, it's either three weeks apart or a month  apart, but it'll take about a month or so to be  
15:13
vaccinated. But even if the therapist is vaccinated  I think that I wouldn't go back to in-person  
15:20
counseling unless both you and your patient have  been adequately vaccinated and the reason for that  
15:26
is that we still don't know whether a vaccinated  person can't get infected. We know they can't get  
15:33
disease, but they can't get infected. So you don't  want to inadvertently give it to your patient who  
15:40
is unvaccinated and on the other the flip side, you don't want your unvaccinated patient  
15:46
to come into your waiting room walk, etc. with other people who may be unvaccinated so  
15:51
my recommendation is stay with virtual counseling  until both you and your clients become vaccinated. 
15:59
Now if in three or four months we know  that the vaccine will protect you against  
16:03
infection as well as protect you against disease,  well then that might be a time when you might  
16:11
try some in-person therapy still trying to  make sure that your unvaccinated patient  
16:18
doesn't get the infection so you  still gotta probably wear masks  
16:23
in the waiting room you gotta wash your hands  and all do all those things i think until our  
16:28
entire country, basically, is vaccinated. I think the  safest thing is to continue with virtual therapy  
16:35
and why do you say that is that because of the  waiting room issue? Well it's partly the waiting  
16:39
room issue, but remember that until we know whether vaccination prevents infection, you as a therapist  
16:46
could become infected not get symptoms because  you've been vaccinated. We know that vaccinated  
16:52
people now hardly ever get symptoms but we don't  know whether you can transmit the disease or not.  
16:58
Now we're going to have to test all those people  who were immunized three or four months ago in a  
17:03
few more months and find out if the vaccinated  group,
in addition to getting less symptomatic  
17:09
disease also didn't get infected because they may  actually have gotten infected just as commonly as  
17:16
the unvaccinated group it's just that none of  them got symptoms
. Now if that's the case then the
17:21
vaccine is good for you, but it isn't necessarily  good for preventing transmission. So Dick, thank you  
17:28
so much for talking with us today and sharing  your expertise. I hope this was useful for you  
17:33
viewers and thank you for watching. Thank you so  much for watching. If you found this video helpful  
17:38
you can help me out by liking and subscribing  or if you're a therapist and are interested  
17:44
in training with me while earning online CEUS,  feel free to visit my website toriolds.com















 








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